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culturepop-culture· POLY-149775

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

$202.4K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

28 markets

Mariah Carey

polymarket · open

$6.6K vol
Yes96.6%
Buy Yes 96.6%
No6.10%
Buy No 6.10%

Kendrick Lamar

polymarket · open

$6.5K vol
Yes25.0%
Buy Yes 25.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%

Sabrina Carpenter

polymarket · open

$3.9K vol
Yes22.0%
Buy Yes 22.0%
No86.0%
Buy No 86.0%

Morgan Wallen

polymarket · open

$2.8K vol
Yes21.0%
Buy Yes 21.0%
No82.0%
Buy No 82.0%

Post Malone

polymarket · open

$3.7K vol
Yes20.0%
Buy Yes 20.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%

Travis Scott

polymarket · open

$7.1K vol
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No85.0%
Buy No 85.0%

Luke Combs

polymarket · open

$4.2K vol
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%

The Weeknd

polymarket · open

$6.6K vol
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%

Doja Cat

polymarket · open

$12.2K vol
Yes11.2%
Buy Yes 11.2%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

Tyler, The Creator

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%

Future

polymarket · open

$7.2K vol
Yes9.90%
Buy Yes 9.90%
No96.4%
Buy No 96.4%

Ed Sheeran

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes9.40%
Buy Yes 9.40%
No98.4%
Buy No 98.4%

Rihanna

polymarket · open

$3.1K vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Lil Baby

polymarket · open

$1.7K vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%

Frank Ocean

polymarket · open

$9.7K vol
Yes8.70%
Buy Yes 8.70%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Peso Pluma

polymarket · open

$444 vol
Yes8.50%
Buy Yes 8.50%
No97.4%
Buy No 97.4%

A$AP Rocky

polymarket · open

$3.2K vol
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No94.4%
Buy No 94.4%

Jack Harlow

polymarket · open

$11.3K vol
Yes7.80%
Buy Yes 7.80%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%

Billie Eilish

polymarket · open

$42.8K vol
Yes7.50%
Buy Yes 7.50%
No96.5%
Buy No 96.5%

Playboi Carti

polymarket · open

$9.9K vol
Yes7.20%
Buy Yes 7.20%
No97.8%
Buy No 97.8%

Zach Bryan

polymarket · open

$1.9K vol
Yes6.70%
Buy Yes 6.70%
No97.5%
Buy No 97.5%

SZA

polymarket · open

$4.2K vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

Kanye West

polymarket · open

$866 vol
Yes2.80%
Buy Yes 2.80%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Bad Bunny

polymarket · closed

$29.6K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Drake

polymarket · closed

$9.0K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Harry Styles

polymarket · closed

$6.8K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Ariana Grande

polymarket · closed

$4.2K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Olivia Rodrigo

polymarket · closed

$949 vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened
Jan 9, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck