December 31, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes81.0%
Buy Yes 81.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
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culturepop-culture· POLY-149793
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$1.2M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$108 vol
June 30, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes21.0%
Buy Yes 21.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
December 31, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes7.00%
Buy Yes 7.00%
No95.6%
Buy No 95.6%
Timeline
- Opened
- Jun 9, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.