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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

techtech· POLY-192962

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

$1.7M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

7 markets

December 31, 2027

polymarket · open

$97.6K vol
Yes67.0%
Buy Yes 67.0%
No34.0%
Buy No 34.0%

June 30, 2027

polymarket · open

$85.8K vol
Yes56.0%
Buy Yes 56.0%
No45.0%
Buy No 45.0%

February 28, 2027

polymarket · open

$48.6K vol
Yes36.0%
Buy Yes 36.0%
No65.0%
Buy No 65.0%

January 31, 2027

polymarket · open

$65.1K vol
Yes20.0%
Buy Yes 20.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%

December 31, 2026

polymarket · open

$350.9K vol
Yes11.0%
Buy Yes 11.0%
No92.0%
Buy No 92.0%

June 30

polymarket · closed

$607.0K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

September 30, 2026

polymarket · closed

$415.6K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 14, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck