$10M
polymarket · open
Yes23.8%
Buy Yes 23.8%
No97.6%
Buy No 97.6%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
crypto· POLY-199445
MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$67.0K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$16.2K vol
$20M
polymarket · open
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%
$40M
polymarket · open
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%
$60M
polymarket · open
Yes13.0%
Buy Yes 13.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%
$100M
polymarket · open
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%
$200M
polymarket · open
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%
$300M
polymarket · open
Yes9.80%
Buy Yes 9.80%
No96.7%
Buy No 96.7%
Timeline
- Opened
- Feb 5, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".