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sportsmls· POLY-200782

MLS Cup Winner 2026

$23.8M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

30 markets

Nashville SC

polymarket · open

$352.4K vol

Yes23.3%

Buy Yes 23.3%

No76.9%

Buy No 76.9%

Inter Miami CF

polymarket · open

$137.0K vol

Yes18.0%

Buy Yes 18.0%

No84.0%

Buy No 84.0%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

polymarket · open

$410.1K vol

Yes16.5%

Buy Yes 16.5%

No85.4%

Buy No 85.4%

Philadelphia Union

polymarket · open

$255.0K vol

Yes7.10%

Buy Yes 7.10%

No95.2%

Buy No 95.2%

FC Dallas

polymarket · open

$104.2K vol

Yes6.60%

Buy Yes 6.60%

No94.4%

Buy No 94.4%

St. Louis City SC

polymarket · open

$109.8K vol

Yes6.20%

Buy Yes 6.20%

No94.2%

Buy No 94.2%

New England Revolution

polymarket · open

$70.3K vol

Yes5.20%

Buy Yes 5.20%

No95.4%

Buy No 95.4%

Los Angeles FC

polymarket · open

$63.8K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No96.6%

Buy No 96.6%

Chicago Fire FC

polymarket · open

$257.4K vol

Yes4.60%

Buy Yes 4.60%

No95.7%

Buy No 95.7%

Charlotte FC

polymarket · open

$2.0M vol

Yes3.20%

Buy Yes 3.20%

No97.7%

Buy No 97.7%

Houston Dynamo FC

polymarket · open

$492.4K vol

Yes2.90%

Buy Yes 2.90%

No97.4%

Buy No 97.4%

San Jose Earthquakes

polymarket · open

$1.2M vol

Yes2.60%

Buy Yes 2.60%

No97.9%

Buy No 97.9%

FC Cincinnati

polymarket · open

$1.6M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Seattle Sounders FC

polymarket · open

$876.1K vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Colorado Rapids

polymarket · open

$149.4K vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Columbus Crew

polymarket · open

$3.2M vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Portland Timbers

polymarket · open

$1.9M vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

LA Galaxy

polymarket · open

$337.1K vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Orlando City SC

polymarket · open

$2.4M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Real Salt Lake

polymarket · open

$3.0M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Minnesota United FC

polymarket · open

$496.9K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

New York Red Bulls

polymarket · closed

$1.3M vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

San Diego FC

polymarket · closed

$1.3M vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

New York City FC

polymarket · closed

$743.5K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

D.C. United

polymarket · closed

$543.4K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Austin FC

polymarket · closed

$137.1K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Sporting Kansas City

polymarket · closed

$122.1K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Toronto FC

polymarket · closed

$120.2K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Atlanta United FC

polymarket · closed

$103.9K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

CF Montréal

polymarket · closed

$63.1K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened: Feb 17, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.