$100M
polymarket · open
Yes54.0%
Buy Yes 54.0%
No53.0%
Buy No 53.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
crypto· POLY-203835
Relay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$57.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$23.7K vol
$500M
polymarket · open
Yes53.0%
Buy Yes 53.0%
No68.0%
Buy No 68.0%
$800M
polymarket · open
Yes50.0%
Buy Yes 50.0%
No82.0%
Buy No 82.0%
$300M
polymarket · open
Yes42.0%
Buy Yes 42.0%
No59.0%
Buy No 59.0%
$600M
polymarket · open
Yes41.0%
Buy Yes 41.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%
$700M
polymarket · open
Yes39.0%
Buy Yes 39.0%
No86.0%
Buy No 86.0%
$1.2B
polymarket · open
Yes39.0%
Buy Yes 39.0%
No86.8%
Buy No 86.8%
$900M
polymarket · open
Yes35.0%
Buy Yes 35.0%
No79.6%
Buy No 79.6%
$1B
polymarket · open
Yes35.0%
Buy Yes 35.0%
No88.2%
Buy No 88.2%
$1.5B
polymarket · open
Yes30.0%
Buy Yes 30.0%
No80.0%
Buy No 80.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Feb 10, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".