June 30, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes53.0%
Buy Yes 53.0%
No48.0%
Buy No 48.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-212877
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$4.6M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$184.4K vol
December 31
polymarket · open
Yes19.0%
Buy Yes 19.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%
July 15
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
September 30
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
March 31
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
February 28
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Jun 30, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.