$100M
polymarket · open
Yes99.5%
Buy Yes 99.5%
No1.00%
Buy No 1.00%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
crypto· POLY-214405
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$8.9M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$627.7K vol
$50M
polymarket · open
Yes99.4%
Buy Yes 99.4%
No1.00%
Buy No 1.00%
$200M
polymarket · open
Yes99.2%
Buy Yes 99.2%
No1.20%
Buy No 1.20%
$300M
polymarket · open
Yes98.2%
Buy Yes 98.2%
No2.90%
Buy No 2.90%
$400M
polymarket · open
Yes96.4%
Buy Yes 96.4%
No4.50%
Buy No 4.50%
$500M
polymarket · open
Yes95.4%
Buy Yes 95.4%
No5.40%
Buy No 5.40%
$600M
polymarket · open
Yes92.0%
Buy Yes 92.0%
No8.80%
Buy No 8.80%
$800M
polymarket · open
Yes80.0%
Buy Yes 80.0%
No21.0%
Buy No 21.0%
$1B
polymarket · open
Yes54.0%
Buy Yes 54.0%
No47.7%
Buy No 47.7%
$1.5B
polymarket · open
Yes24.9%
Buy Yes 24.9%
No76.6%
Buy No 76.6%
$2B
polymarket · open
Yes17.8%
Buy Yes 17.8%
No84.4%
Buy No 84.4%
$2.5B
polymarket · open
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%
$3B
polymarket · open
Yes3.80%
Buy Yes 3.80%
No96.3%
Buy No 96.3%
Timeline
- Opened
- Feb 18, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".