$400M
polymarket · open
Yes60.2%
Buy Yes 60.2%
No92.5%
Buy No 92.5%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
crypto· POLY-242022
Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$171.4K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$1.4K vol
$800M
polymarket · open
Yes59.4%
Buy Yes 59.4%
No93.6%
Buy No 93.6%
$300M
polymarket · open
Yes22.7%
Buy Yes 22.7%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
$100M
polymarket · open
Yes19.1%
Buy Yes 19.1%
No90.7%
Buy No 90.7%
$200M
polymarket · open
Yes14.2%
Buy Yes 14.2%
No94.9%
Buy No 94.9%
$50M
polymarket · open
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%
$500M
polymarket · open
Yes7.80%
Buy Yes 7.80%
No97.8%
Buy No 97.8%
$1B
polymarket · open
Yes4.40%
Buy Yes 4.40%
No98.6%
Buy No 98.6%
Timeline
- Opened
- Mar 2, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".