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crypto· POLY-254944

Surf FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$113.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

5 markets

$300M

polymarket · open

$884 vol

Yes89.0%

Buy Yes 89.0%

No69.0%

Buy No 69.0%

$100M

polymarket · open

$16.1K vol

Yes88.0%

Buy Yes 88.0%

No36.0%

Buy No 36.0%

$200M

polymarket · open

$103 vol

Yes81.0%

Buy Yes 81.0%

No92.0%

Buy No 92.0%

$50M

polymarket · open

$95.4K vol

Yes75.0%

Buy Yes 75.0%

No51.0%

Buy No 51.0%

$500M

polymarket · open

$1.3K vol

Yes49.0%

Buy Yes 49.0%

No72.0%

Buy No 72.0%

Timeline

Opened: Mar 8, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".