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politics· POLY-257075

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

$94.6K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

2 markets

December 31

polymarket · open

$40.5K vol

Yes28.0%

Buy Yes 28.0%

No94.0%

Buy No 94.0%

June 30

polymarket · closed

$54.1K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened: Jun 30, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.