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politicspolitics· POLY-30829

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1304.6M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

54 markets

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

polymarket · open

$15.7M vol

Yes16.0%

Buy Yes 16.0%

No84.3%

Buy No 84.3%

Gavin Newsom

polymarket · open

$28.1M vol

Yes15.5%

Buy Yes 15.5%

No85.1%

Buy No 85.1%

Jon Ossoff

polymarket · open

$13.8M vol

Yes15.1%

Buy Yes 15.1%

No85.4%

Buy No 85.4%

Kamala Harris

polymarket · open

$14.4M vol

Yes5.50%

Buy Yes 5.50%

No94.6%

Buy No 94.6%

Josh Shapiro

polymarket · open

$10.4M vol

Yes5.50%

Buy Yes 5.50%

No94.9%

Buy No 94.9%

Pete Buttigieg

polymarket · open

$12.3M vol

Yes5.10%

Buy Yes 5.10%

No95.2%

Buy No 95.2%

Andy Beshear

polymarket · open

$13.5M vol

Yes3.60%

Buy Yes 3.60%

No96.5%

Buy No 96.5%

Raphael Warnock

polymarket · open

$34.5M vol

Yes3.30%

Buy Yes 3.30%

No97.0%

Buy No 97.0%

James Talarico

polymarket · open

$11.4M vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No97.1%

Buy No 97.1%

Wes Moore

polymarket · open

$18.7M vol

Yes2.20%

Buy Yes 2.20%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Mark Kelly

polymarket · open

$18.1M vol

Yes1.80%

Buy Yes 1.80%

No98.3%

Buy No 98.3%

Ro Khanna

polymarket · open

$11.7M vol

Yes1.70%

Buy Yes 1.70%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

polymarket · open

$12.5M vol

Yes1.60%

Buy Yes 1.60%

No98.5%

Buy No 98.5%

J.B. Pritzker

polymarket · open

$15.9M vol

Yes1.50%

Buy Yes 1.50%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Rahm Emanuel

polymarket · open

$14.8M vol

Yes1.50%

Buy Yes 1.50%

No98.6%

Buy No 98.6%

Bernie Sanders

polymarket · open

$52.9M vol

Yes1.40%

Buy Yes 1.40%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Chelsea Clinton

polymarket · open

$51.1M vol

Yes1.30%

Buy Yes 1.30%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Roy Cooper

polymarket · open

$32.0M vol

Yes1.00%

Buy Yes 1.00%

No99.1%

Buy No 99.1%

Cory Booker

polymarket · open

$26.7M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Gretchen Whitmer

polymarket · open

$12.2M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Adam Hamilton

polymarket · open

$342.4K vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Michelle Obama

polymarket · open

$26.5M vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Jon Stewart

polymarket · open

$24.9M vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Ruben Gallego

polymarket · open

$9.3M vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Gina Raimondo

polymarket · open

$36.1M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Hunter Biden

polymarket · open

$44.8M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Hillary Clinton

polymarket · open

$44.4M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Barack Obama

polymarket · open

$34.4M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Mark Cuban

polymarket · open

$23.3M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Chris Murphy

polymarket · open

$17.7M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Phil Murphy

polymarket · open

$43.0M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Zohran Mamdani

polymarket · open

$39.1M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Liz Cheney

polymarket · open

$39.0M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Jasmine Crockett

polymarket · open

$36.5M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Jared Polis

polymarket · open

$27.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Stephen A. Smith

polymarket · open

$23.4M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Abigail Spanberger

polymarket · open

$3.2M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Josh Stein

polymarket · open

$2.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Hakeem Jeffries

polymarket · open

$2.3M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Chris Van Hollen

polymarket · open

$2.2M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Elissa Slotkin

polymarket · open

$1.8M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Mitch Landrieu

polymarket · open

$1.3M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Oprah Winfrey

polymarket · open

$54.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Andrew Yang

polymarket · open

$49.3M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

LeBron James

polymarket · open

$44.4M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tim Walz

polymarket · open

$44.3M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

George Clooney

polymarket · open

$43.9M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Beto O’Rourke

polymarket · open

$43.1M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Kim Kardashian

polymarket · open

$43.0M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

MrBeast

polymarket · open

$41.3M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

John Fetterman

polymarket · open

$26.1M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Graham Platner

polymarket · open

$8.7M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Alex Padilla

polymarket · open

$1.1M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Adam Schiff

polymarket · open

$715.2K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: Jul 11, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.