$100M
polymarket · open
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
crypto· POLY-310521
Noble FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$18.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$1.4K vol
$300M
polymarket · open
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
$50M
polymarket · open
Yes13.0%
Buy Yes 13.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%
$500M
polymarket · open
Yes11.5%
Buy Yes 11.5%
No92.4%
Buy No 92.4%
$200M
polymarket · open
Yes11.0%
Buy Yes 11.0%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%
$1B
polymarket · open
Yes10.7%
Buy Yes 10.7%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%
$700M
polymarket · open
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Mar 26, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".