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politics· POLY-310660

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

$72.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

7 markets

Austin Magee

polymarket · open

$2.6K vol

Yes32.2%

Buy Yes 32.2%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Misti Cordell

polymarket · open

$2.5K vol

Yes26.3%

Buy Yes 26.3%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Michael Mebruer

polymarket · open

$1.8K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Rick Edmonds

polymarket · open

$6.0K vol

Yes4.50%

Buy Yes 4.50%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Samuel Wyatt

polymarket · open

$6.4K vol

Yes4.00%

Buy Yes 4.00%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Michael Echols

polymarket · open

$20.2K vol

Yes3.20%

Buy Yes 3.20%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Blake Miguez

polymarket · open

$32.6K vol

Yes1.10%

Buy Yes 1.10%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened: Mar 26, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.