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politicselection· POLY-31552

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$727.0M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

55 markets

JD Vance

polymarket · open

$18.1M vol

Yes18.5%

Buy Yes 18.5%

No81.6%

Buy No 81.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

polymarket · open

$14.1M vol

Yes12.2%

Buy Yes 12.2%

No87.9%

Buy No 87.9%

Gavin Newsom

polymarket · open

$19.0M vol

Yes12.0%

Buy Yes 12.0%

No88.1%

Buy No 88.1%

Jon Ossoff

polymarket · open

$6.2M vol

Yes11.5%

Buy Yes 11.5%

No88.6%

Buy No 88.6%

Marco Rubio

polymarket · open

$13.3M vol

Yes8.70%

Buy Yes 8.70%

No91.5%

Buy No 91.5%

Kamala Harris

polymarket · open

$9.5M vol

Yes3.90%

Buy Yes 3.90%

No96.2%

Buy No 96.2%

Pete Buttigieg

polymarket · open

$8.6M vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No97.4%

Buy No 97.4%

Josh Shapiro

polymarket · open

$7.7M vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No97.4%

Buy No 97.4%

James Talarico

polymarket · open

$8.2M vol

Yes2.50%

Buy Yes 2.50%

No97.8%

Buy No 97.8%

Ron DeSantis

polymarket · open

$12.8M vol

Yes2.20%

Buy Yes 2.20%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Andy Beshear

polymarket · open

$19.5M vol

Yes1.90%

Buy Yes 1.90%

No98.2%

Buy No 98.2%

Raphael Warnock

polymarket · open

$1.3M vol

Yes1.80%

Buy Yes 1.80%

No98.3%

Buy No 98.3%

Donald Trump

polymarket · open

$10.8M vol

Yes1.50%

Buy Yes 1.50%

No98.6%

Buy No 98.6%

Tucker Carlson

polymarket · open

$14.5M vol

Yes1.30%

Buy Yes 1.30%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

polymarket · open

$8.5M vol

Yes1.20%

Buy Yes 1.20%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Wes Moore

polymarket · open

$12.8M vol

Yes1.10%

Buy Yes 1.10%

No99.1%

Buy No 99.1%

Mark Kelly

polymarket · open

$934.7K vol

Yes1.10%

Buy Yes 1.10%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

JB Pritzker

polymarket · open

$13.2M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Ro Khanna

polymarket · open

$11.0M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Ivanka Trump

polymarket · open

$8.8M vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Thomas Massie

polymarket · open

$8.6M vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Donald Trump Jr.

polymarket · open

$14.1M vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Ted Cruz

polymarket · open

$814.7K vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Glenn Youngkin

polymarket · open

$28.8M vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Rahm Emanuel

polymarket · open

$483.3K vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Gretchen Whitmer

polymarket · open

$15.8M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Elon Musk

polymarket · open

$28.3M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Michelle Obama

polymarket · open

$19.6M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Jamie Dimon

polymarket · open

$11.1M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Tulsi Gabbard

polymarket · open

$35.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Greg Abbott

polymarket · open

$35.5M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Nikki Haley

polymarket · open

$32.0M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tim Scott

polymarket · open

$1.1M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

LeBron James

polymarket · open

$55.0M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tim Walz

polymarket · open

$45.0M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Kim Kardashian

polymarket · open

$40.4M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Vivek Ramaswamy

polymarket · open

$38.2M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Stephen Smith

polymarket · open

$33.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Zohran Mamdani

polymarket · open

$22.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Eric Trump

polymarket · open

$19.0M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Pete Hegseth

polymarket · open

$10.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Jalen Brunson

polymarket · open

$2.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tom Cotton

polymarket · open

$1.7M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Josh Stein

polymarket · open

$1.0M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Abigail Spanberger

polymarket · open

$963.8K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Adam Schiff

polymarket · open

$949.3K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Elissa Slotkin

polymarket · open

$898.6K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Alex Padilla

polymarket · open

$853.7K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Candace Owens

polymarket · open

$590.9K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Rick Scott

polymarket · open

$519.6K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Doug Burgum

polymarket · open

$420.0K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

John N. Kennedy

polymarket · open

$412.4K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Mike Johnson

polymarket · open

$396.2K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Hakeem Jeffries

polymarket · open

$288.8K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

James Fishback

polymarket · open

$177.3K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: Jul 11, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.