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politicspolitics· POLY-31875

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$721.0M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

43 markets

J.D. Vance

polymarket · open

$16.4M vol

Yes36.5%

Buy Yes 36.5%

No64.2%

Buy No 64.2%

Marco Rubio

polymarket · open

$11.2M vol

Yes18.7%

Buy Yes 18.7%

No81.4%

Buy No 81.4%

Ron DeSantis

polymarket · open

$16.1M vol

Yes4.10%

Buy Yes 4.10%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Tucker Carlson

polymarket · open

$13.9M vol

Yes3.10%

Buy Yes 3.10%

No97.0%

Buy No 97.0%

Ted Cruz

polymarket · open

$19.9M vol

Yes2.60%

Buy Yes 2.60%

No97.5%

Buy No 97.5%

Ivanka Trump

polymarket · open

$9.0M vol

Yes1.80%

Buy Yes 1.80%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Donald Trump Jr.

polymarket · open

$9.8M vol

Yes1.70%

Buy Yes 1.70%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Donald Trump

polymarket · open

$9.7M vol

Yes1.70%

Buy Yes 1.70%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Thomas Massie

polymarket · open

$6.3M vol

Yes1.40%

Buy Yes 1.40%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Glenn Youngkin

polymarket · open

$9.0M vol

Yes1.20%

Buy Yes 1.20%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

Elon Musk

polymarket · open

$32.0M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Brian Kemp

polymarket · open

$18.2M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Tom Cotton

polymarket · open

$1.9M vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Josh Hawley

polymarket · open

$20.5M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Rand Paul

polymarket · open

$19.8M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

polymarket · open

$17.0M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Pete Hegseth

polymarket · open

$9.4M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

polymarket · open

$6.8M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Katie Britt

polymarket · open

$29.0M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Greg Abbott

polymarket · open

$21.6M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Candace Owens

polymarket · open

$1.1M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Byron Donalds

polymarket · open

$44.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Mike Pence

polymarket · open

$43.8M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Kristi Noem

polymarket · open

$37.8M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

polymarket · open

$36.3M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Kim Kardashian

polymarket · open

$28.7M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Elise Stefanik

polymarket · open

$28.2M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Steve Bannon

polymarket · open

$23.1M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Erika Kirk

polymarket · open

$19.2M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Vivek Ramaswamy

polymarket · open

$16.3M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Tulsi Gabbard

polymarket · open

$14.5M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Eric Trump

polymarket · open

$10.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Nikki Haley

polymarket · open

$10.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Joe Kent

polymarket · open

$9.0M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Doug Burgum

polymarket · open

$1.7M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

John N. Kennedy

polymarket · open

$1.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Tim Scott

polymarket · open

$1.5M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

John McEntee

polymarket · open

$631.2K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

John Thune

polymarket · open

$38.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tom Brady

polymarket · open

$33.2M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Matt Gaetz

polymarket · open

$20.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Mike Johnson

polymarket · open

$924.4K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Rick Scott

polymarket · open

$873.1K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: Jul 11, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.