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politics· POLY-354609

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

$38.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

6 markets

Hakeem Jeffries

polymarket · open

$33.9K vol

Yes93.9%

Buy Yes 93.9%

No6.60%

Buy No 6.60%

Katherine Clark

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol

Yes4.40%

Buy Yes 4.40%

No97.7%

Buy No 97.7%

Pete Aguilar

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No97.8%

Buy No 97.8%

Jim Jordan

polymarket · open

$538 vol

Yes2.40%

Buy Yes 2.40%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Steve Scalise

polymarket · open

$588 vol

Yes2.30%

Buy Yes 2.30%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Mike Johnson

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened: Apr 8, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.