December 31
polymarket · open
Yes2.60%
Buy Yes 2.60%
No97.5%
Buy No 97.5%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
tech· POLY-360860
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?
$2.0M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$940.3K vol
June 30
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
April 30
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
July 31
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Apr 9, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.