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politicselection· POLY-407745

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$129.0K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Dominique de Villepin

polymarket · open

$2.9K vol
Yes88.0%
Buy Yes 88.0%
No23.0%
Buy No 23.0%

François Hollande

polymarket · open

$3.8K vol
Yes16.0%
Buy Yes 16.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

polymarket · open

$1.6K vol
Yes8.40%
Buy Yes 8.40%
No92.3%
Buy No 92.3%

Manuel Bompard

polymarket · open

$3.9K vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

Gérald Darmanin

polymarket · open

$1.9K vol
Yes5.80%
Buy Yes 5.80%
No94.7%
Buy No 94.7%

Élisabeth Borne

polymarket · open

$5.6K vol
Yes5.50%
Buy Yes 5.50%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%

Sébastien Lecornu

polymarket · open

$7.9K vol
Yes3.90%
Buy Yes 3.90%
No97.6%
Buy No 97.6%

Michel Barnier

polymarket · open

$2.5K vol
Yes3.90%
Buy Yes 3.90%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Carole Delga

polymarket · open

$2.3K vol
Yes3.70%
Buy Yes 3.70%
No98.5%
Buy No 98.5%

Valérie Pécresse

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes3.70%
Buy Yes 3.70%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%

François Bayrou

polymarket · open

$3.6K vol
Yes3.40%
Buy Yes 3.40%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%

Mathilde Panot

polymarket · open

$19.7K vol
Yes3.20%
Buy Yes 3.20%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%

Jordan Bardella

polymarket · open

$14.6K vol
Yes3.20%
Buy Yes 3.20%
No97.8%
Buy No 97.8%

Bernard Cazeneuve

polymarket · open

$5.6K vol
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Jean Castex

polymarket · open

$1.7K vol
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%

Éric Zemmour

polymarket · closed

$14.5K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Raphaël Glucksmann

polymarket · closed

$12.8K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Marine Le Pen

polymarket · closed

$10.5K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

polymarket · closed

$7.1K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Olivier Faure

polymarket · closed

$3.0K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Gabriel Attal

polymarket · closed

$1.4K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened
Apr 22, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck