Yes
polymarket · open
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No98.5%
Buy No 98.5%
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

Current implied probabilities and volume.
polymarket · open
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.