December 31
polymarket · open
Yes2.80%
Buy Yes 2.80%
No97.8%
Buy No 97.8%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politicspolitics· POLY-42365
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$14.2M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$281.1K vol
January 31
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
March 31
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
December 31, 2025
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Jan 4, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.