Timeline

Opened

Apr 28, 2026

Closes

Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) surpasses the public valuation of Anthropic at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, this market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for BTC, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.