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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

tech· POLY-428608

AWS service disrupted by June 30?

$17.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

6 markets

November 30

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol
Yes92.0%
Buy Yes 92.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%

October 31

polymarket · open

$2.1K vol
Yes44.0%
Buy Yes 44.0%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

September 30

polymarket · open

$400 vol
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%

June 30

polymarket · closed

$9.3K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

July 31

polymarket · closed

$776 vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

August 31

polymarket · closed

$91 vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened
Sep 30, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.” This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).

AWS service disrupted by June 30? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck