35-39
polymarket · open
Yes41.0%
Buy Yes 41.0%
No61.0%
Buy No 61.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politicselection· POLY-431593
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
$41.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$10.3K vol
40-44
polymarket · open
Yes33.0%
Buy Yes 33.0%
No72.0%
Buy No 72.0%
30-34
polymarket · open
Yes22.0%
Buy Yes 22.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%
45-49
polymarket · open
Yes3.60%
Buy Yes 3.60%
No99.1%
Buy No 99.1%
25-29
polymarket · open
Yes1.60%
Buy Yes 1.60%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%
50+
polymarket · open
Yes0.30%
Buy Yes 0.30%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
<25
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Apr 29, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).