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politics· POLY-434869

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$459.6K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

22 markets

Texas

polymarket · open

$22.5K vol
Yes99.8%
Buy Yes 99.8%
No3.10%
Buy No 3.10%

California

polymarket · open

$18.4K vol
Yes99.6%
Buy Yes 99.6%
No3.10%
Buy No 3.10%

North Carolina

polymarket · open

$15.8K vol
Yes99.5%
Buy Yes 99.5%
No6.40%
Buy No 6.40%

Utah

polymarket · open

$100.5K vol
Yes99.4%
Buy Yes 99.4%
No3.70%
Buy No 3.70%

Florida

polymarket · open

$7.7K vol
Yes99.0%
Buy Yes 99.0%
No4.10%
Buy No 4.10%

Ohio

polymarket · open

$8.9K vol
Yes97.9%
Buy Yes 97.9%
No13.4%
Buy No 13.4%

Louisiana

polymarket · open

$25.8K vol
Yes96.4%
Buy Yes 96.4%
No82.1%
Buy No 82.1%

Illinois

polymarket · open

$12.9K vol
Yes77.0%
Buy Yes 77.0%
No89.7%
Buy No 89.7%

Alabama

polymarket · open

$20.5K vol
Yes29.0%
Buy Yes 29.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%

Washington

polymarket · open

$11.9K vol
Yes8.70%
Buy Yes 8.70%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%

Virginia

polymarket · open

$13.9K vol
Yes4.80%
Buy Yes 4.80%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Georgia

polymarket · open

$9.2K vol
Yes4.20%
Buy Yes 4.20%
No96.8%
Buy No 96.8%

Nebraska

polymarket · open

$8.0K vol
Yes4.20%
Buy Yes 4.20%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%

Maryland

polymarket · open

$16.6K vol
Yes4.10%
Buy Yes 4.10%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

New Jersey

polymarket · open

$6.5K vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

Minnesota

polymarket · open

$17.0K vol
Yes3.80%
Buy Yes 3.80%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%

New York

polymarket · open

$23.1K vol
Yes3.60%
Buy Yes 3.60%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Indiana

polymarket · open

$39.1K vol
Yes3.10%
Buy Yes 3.10%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

South Carolina

polymarket · open

$29.5K vol
Yes3.10%
Buy Yes 3.10%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Wisconsin

polymarket · open

$25.5K vol
Yes1.40%
Buy Yes 1.40%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Kansas

polymarket · open

$9.5K vol
Yes1.10%
Buy Yes 1.10%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Missouri

polymarket · open

$16.5K vol
Yes0.60%
Buy Yes 0.60%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Apr 30, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck