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politicselection· POLY-435390

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

$1.2M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Javier Milei

polymarket · open

$296.2K vol

Yes46.0%

Buy Yes 46.0%

No55.0%

Buy No 55.0%

Axel Kicillof

polymarket · open

$155.3K vol

Yes30.0%

Buy Yes 30.0%

No71.0%

Buy No 71.0%

Sergio Massa

polymarket · open

$116.4K vol

Yes15.1%

Buy Yes 15.1%

No85.0%

Buy No 85.0%

Patricia Bullrich

polymarket · open

$44.6K vol

Yes4.10%

Buy Yes 4.10%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Myriam Bregman

polymarket · open

$72.4K vol

Yes1.80%

Buy Yes 1.80%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner

polymarket · open

$35.6K vol

Yes1.70%

Buy Yes 1.70%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Daniel Hadad

polymarket · open

$39.7K vol

Yes1.30%

Buy Yes 1.30%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Karina Milei

polymarket · open

$11.2K vol

Yes1.00%

Buy Yes 1.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Dante Gebel

polymarket · open

$58.6K vol

Yes0.90%

Buy Yes 0.90%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

Lionel Messi

polymarket · open

$29.6K vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Victoria Villarruel

polymarket · open

$48.9K vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Mauricio Macri

polymarket · open

$66.6K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Juan Grabois

polymarket · open

$54.7K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Facundo Manes

polymarket · open

$44.3K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Guillermo Moreno

polymarket · open

$27.4K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Máximo Kirchner

polymarket · open

$22.7K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro

polymarket · open

$15.7K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Juan Schiaretti

polymarket · open

$50.4K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Esteban Bullrich

polymarket · open

$45.1K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Nicolás del Caño

polymarket · open

$9.2K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Alberto Fernández

polymarket · open

$586 vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: May 1, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).