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tech· POLY-452365

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$172.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

5 markets

Frontier Airlines

polymarket · open

$37.2K vol

Yes11.0%

Buy Yes 11.0%

No95.0%

Buy No 95.0%

JetBlue

polymarket · open

$41.1K vol

Yes8.40%

Buy Yes 8.40%

No93.0%

Buy No 93.0%

Alaska Airlines

polymarket · open

$35.9K vol

Yes7.10%

Buy Yes 7.10%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Allegiant

polymarket · open

$39.0K vol

Yes6.00%

Buy Yes 6.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

American Airlines

polymarket · open

$19.0K vol

Yes4.20%

Buy Yes 4.20%

No97.8%

Buy No 97.8%

Timeline

Opened: May 5, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.