$500M
polymarket · open
Yes70.0%
Buy Yes 70.0%
No31.0%
Buy No 31.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
crypto· POLY-478814
Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$89.3K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$30.7K vol
$800M
polymarket · open
Yes69.0%
Buy Yes 69.0%
No32.0%
Buy No 32.0%
$1B
polymarket · open
Yes64.0%
Buy Yes 64.0%
No44.0%
Buy No 44.0%
$2B
polymarket · open
Yes55.0%
Buy Yes 55.0%
No49.0%
Buy No 49.0%
$3B
polymarket · open
Yes42.0%
Buy Yes 42.0%
No63.0%
Buy No 63.0%
$5B
polymarket · open
Yes39.0%
Buy Yes 39.0%
No82.0%
Buy No 82.0%
$4B
polymarket · open
Yes39.0%
Buy Yes 39.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%
$7B
polymarket · open
Yes25.0%
Buy Yes 25.0%
No95.6%
Buy No 95.6%
$10B
polymarket · open
Yes10.4%
Buy Yes 10.4%
No92.4%
Buy No 92.4%
$20B
polymarket · open
Yes3.80%
Buy Yes 3.80%
No98.5%
Buy No 98.5%
Timeline
- Opened
- May 12, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".