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culture· POLY-498879

Next James Bond actor?

$1.9M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

25 markets

Callum Turner

polymarket · open

$159.0K vol

Yes61.2%

Buy Yes 61.2%

No53.9%

Buy No 53.9%

Jack Lowden

polymarket · open

$357.0K vol

Yes18.0%

Buy Yes 18.0%

No84.6%

Buy No 84.6%

No Bond chosen

polymarket · open

$669.1K vol

Yes12.5%

Buy Yes 12.5%

No92.0%

Buy No 92.0%

James Norton

polymarket · open

$47.9K vol

Yes8.20%

Buy Yes 8.20%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

Josh O'Connor

polymarket · open

$56.8K vol

Yes6.30%

Buy Yes 6.30%

No97.2%

Buy No 97.2%

Jack Barton

polymarket · open

$87.3K vol

Yes3.90%

Buy Yes 3.90%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

Tom Francis

polymarket · open

$42.8K vol

Yes2.10%

Buy Yes 2.10%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Richard Madden

polymarket · open

$35.0K vol

Yes1.20%

Buy Yes 1.20%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Paul Mescal

polymarket · open

$33.8K vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Joe Alwyn

polymarket · open

$24.8K vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Jacob Elordi

polymarket · open

$54.5K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Jack O'Connell

polymarket · open

$53.1K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Theo James

polymarket · open

$45.4K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

polymarket · open

$43.6K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Harris Dickinson

polymarket · open

$40.8K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Tom Hardy

polymarket · open

$31.2K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Henry Cavill

polymarket · open

$35.8K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tom Holland

polymarket · open

$19.8K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timothee Chalamet

polymarket · open

$18.4K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tom Blyth

polymarket · open

$16.2K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Pierce Brosnan

polymarket · open

$15.9K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Nicholas Galitzine

polymarket · open

$14.9K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Jonathan Bailey

polymarket · open

$13.8K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Michael B Jordan

polymarket · open

$12.5K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Robert James-Collier

polymarket · open

$8.7K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: May 18, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.