South Sudan
polymarket · open
Yes33.0%
Buy Yes 33.0%
No78.0%
Buy No 78.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
climate & science· POLY-511422
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$79.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$7.1K vol
Ethiopia
polymarket · open
Yes29.0%
Buy Yes 29.0%
No78.0%
Buy No 78.0%
Rwanda
polymarket · open
Yes25.0%
Buy Yes 25.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%
Republic of the Congo
polymarket · open
Yes23.0%
Buy Yes 23.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%
Somalia
polymarket · open
Yes23.0%
Buy Yes 23.0%
No80.0%
Buy No 80.0%
Burundi
polymarket · open
Yes22.0%
Buy Yes 22.0%
No86.0%
Buy No 86.0%
India
polymarket · open
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
China
polymarket · open
Yes10.7%
Buy Yes 10.7%
No95.9%
Buy No 95.9%
Canada
polymarket · open
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%
United States
polymarket · open
Yes7.00%
Buy Yes 7.00%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%
Kenya
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Nigeria
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Uganda
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- May 22, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.