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cryptocrypto· POLY-52130

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$7.0M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

8 markets

$100M

polymarket · open

$323.1K vol

Yes7.00%

Buy Yes 7.00%

No94.0%

Buy No 94.0%

$100M

polymarket · open

$171.9K vol

Yes7.00%

Buy Yes 7.00%

No95.3%

Buy No 95.3%

$300M

polymarket · open

$95.5K vol

Yes6.00%

Buy Yes 6.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

$500M

polymarket · open

$2.3M vol

Yes5.50%

Buy Yes 5.50%

No95.8%

Buy No 95.8%

$1B

polymarket · open

$2.1M vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No97.0%

Buy No 97.0%

$2B

polymarket · open

$560.1K vol

Yes4.60%

Buy Yes 4.60%

No97.5%

Buy No 97.5%

$5B

polymarket · open

$501.1K vol

Yes3.60%

Buy Yes 3.60%

No98.1%

Buy No 98.1%

$3B

polymarket · open

$837.9K vol

Yes2.70%

Buy Yes 2.70%

No99.1%

Buy No 99.1%

Timeline

Opened: Mar 8, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".