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politicselection· POLY-57096

California Governor Election Winner

$44.3M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

23 markets

Xavier Becerra

polymarket · open

$3.1M vol

Yes97.9%

Buy Yes 97.9%

No2.20%

Buy No 2.20%

Steve Hilton

polymarket · open

$4.7M vol

Yes2.20%

Buy Yes 2.20%

No97.9%

Buy No 97.9%

Tom Steyer

polymarket · open

$4.9M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Alex Padilla

polymarket · open

$2.0M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Chad Bianco

polymarket · open

$2.0M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Kyle Langford

polymarket · open

$1.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Rick Caruso

polymarket · open

$1.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Nicole Shanahan

polymarket · open

$1.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Katie Porter

polymarket · open

$1.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Betty Yee

polymarket · open

$1.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Antonio Villaraigosa

polymarket · open

$1.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Stephen Cloobeck

polymarket · open

$1.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Kamala Harris

polymarket · open

$1.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Toni Atkins

polymarket · open

$1.6M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Michael Younger

polymarket · open

$1.5M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Eric Swalwell

polymarket · open

$1.5M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Eleni Kounalakis

polymarket · open

$1.4M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tony Thurmond

polymarket · open

$1.4M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Daniel Mercuri

polymarket · open

$1.4M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Matt Mahan

polymarket · open

$1.4M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Butch Ware

polymarket · open

$1.3M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Elaine Culotti

polymarket · open

$1.3M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Leo Zacky

polymarket · open

$1.1M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: Oct 9, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.