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Jupiter Trending

Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politics· POLY-628948

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

$301.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

2 markets

March 31, 2027

polymarket · open

$9.8K vol
Yes21.0%
Buy Yes 21.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%

December 31, 2026

polymarket · open

$291.7K vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 14, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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