June 30, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No92.0%
Buy No 92.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-656453
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
$22.3K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$12.9K vol
December 31, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%
September 30, 2026
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Jul 1, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.