June 30, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes96.0%
Buy Yes 96.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-66070
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$98.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$0 vol
March 31, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes89.0%
Buy Yes 89.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%
December 31, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes11.0%
Buy Yes 11.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
December 31, 2025
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Nov 1, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.