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politicsgeopolitics· POLY-73105

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

$305.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

9 markets

1-100

polymarket · open

$19.5K vol
Yes76.9%
Buy Yes 76.9%
No47.1%
Buy No 47.1%

1k-2.5k

polymarket · open

$11.6K vol
Yes37.7%
Buy Yes 37.7%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%

>100k

polymarket · open

$26.8K vol
Yes19.0%
Buy Yes 19.0%
No95.9%
Buy No 95.9%

101-1k

polymarket · open

$42.1K vol
Yes9.40%
Buy Yes 9.40%
No95.9%
Buy No 95.9%

2.5k-5k

polymarket · open

$12.1K vol
Yes5.70%
Buy Yes 5.70%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%

10k-25k

polymarket · open

$119.4K vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No98.2%
Buy No 98.2%

5k-10k

polymarket · open

$15.6K vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

25k-100k

polymarket · open

$14.2K vol
Yes2.00%
Buy Yes 2.00%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

0

polymarket · closed

$44.4K vol
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened
Nov 5, 2025
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck