December 31, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes31.0%
Buy Yes 31.0%
No71.0%
Buy No 71.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politicsgeopolitics· POLY-73129
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
$80.0K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$1.2K vol
June 30, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes20.0%
Buy Yes 20.0%
No84.0%
Buy No 84.0%
December 31, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes3.20%
Buy Yes 3.20%
No96.9%
Buy No 96.9%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 26, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.