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politicsgeopolitics· POLY-73191

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

$1.9M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

12 markets

Somaliland

polymarket · open

$124.7K vol
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No92.0%
Buy No 92.0%

Jordan

polymarket · open

$13.8K vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Egypt

polymarket · open

$7.6K vol
Yes6.20%
Buy Yes 6.20%
No97.4%
Buy No 97.4%

Pakistan

polymarket · open

$9.7K vol
Yes6.10%
Buy Yes 6.10%
No97.5%
Buy No 97.5%

Qatar

polymarket · open

$9.1K vol
Yes6.10%
Buy Yes 6.10%
No96.2%
Buy No 96.2%

Lebanon

polymarket · open

$93.6K vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Kuwait

polymarket · open

$88.7K vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Syria

polymarket · open

$170.9K vol
Yes4.80%
Buy Yes 4.80%
No96.1%
Buy No 96.1%

Azerbaijan

polymarket · open

$192.9K vol
Yes4.50%
Buy Yes 4.50%
No95.6%
Buy No 95.6%

Turkey

polymarket · open

$489.5K vol
Yes4.40%
Buy Yes 4.40%
No97.5%
Buy No 97.5%

Oman

polymarket · open

$188.9K vol
Yes4.40%
Buy Yes 4.40%
No96.2%
Buy No 96.2%

Saudi Arabia

polymarket · open

$473.0K vol
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No97.2%
Buy No 97.2%

Timeline

Opened
Dec 31, 2025
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck