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politicsgeopolitics· POLY-73211

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

$1.3M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

1 market

Yes

polymarket · open

$1.3M vol

Yes1.40%

Buy Yes 1.40%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Timeline

Opened: Nov 5, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.