December 31, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes37.0%
Buy Yes 37.0%
No65.0%
Buy No 65.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-73223
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
$3.1M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$15.0K vol
June 30, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes20.0%
Buy Yes 20.0%
No82.0%
Buy No 82.0%
March 31, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes5.90%
Buy Yes 5.90%
No94.2%
Buy No 94.2%
December 31, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes3.40%
Buy Yes 3.40%
No96.8%
Buy No 96.8%
November 30, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes1.40%
Buy Yes 1.40%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%
September 30, 2026
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
October 31, 2026
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 5, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.