Fernando Dias da Costa
polymarket · open
Yes11.8%
Buy Yes 11.8%
No96.5%
Buy No 96.5%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politicselection· POLY-74788
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
$356.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$60.5K vol
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
polymarket · open
Yes7.50%
Buy Yes 7.50%
No97.6%
Buy No 97.6%
João Bernardo Vieira
polymarket · open
Yes4.50%
Buy Yes 4.50%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
Mário da Silva Júnior
polymarket · open
Yes4.30%
Buy Yes 4.30%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%
Honório Augusto Lopes
polymarket · open
Yes4.10%
Buy Yes 4.10%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%
José Mário Vaz
polymarket · open
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
Siga Batista
polymarket · open
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%
Baciro Djá
polymarket · open
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
polymarket · open
Yes1.70%
Buy Yes 1.70%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
polymarket · open
Yes1.50%
Buy Yes 1.50%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%
João de Deus Mendes
polymarket · open
Yes1.50%
Buy Yes 1.50%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
polymarket · open
Yes0.30%
Buy Yes 0.30%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
Timeline
- Opened
- Nov 6, 2025
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).