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culture· POLY-761666

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

$272.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

22 markets

John Malkovich

polymarket · open

$25.3K vol
Yes49.0%
Buy Yes 49.0%
No53.3%
Buy No 53.3%

Matt Damon

polymarket · open

$47.9K vol
Yes19.0%
Buy Yes 19.0%
No84.0%
Buy No 84.0%

Andrew Scott

polymarket · open

$26.8K vol
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No84.0%
Buy No 84.0%

Tom Cruise

polymarket · open

$31.7K vol
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%

Robert Pattinson

polymarket · open

$13.1K vol
Yes4.10%
Buy Yes 4.10%
No97.4%
Buy No 97.4%

Timothée Chalamet

polymarket · open

$13.9K vol
Yes3.70%
Buy Yes 3.70%
No97.1%
Buy No 97.1%

Anthony Ippolito

polymarket · open

$6.7K vol
Yes2.50%
Buy Yes 2.50%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

John Turturro

polymarket · open

$10.1K vol
Yes1.70%
Buy Yes 1.70%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%

Ryan Gosling

polymarket · open

$10.9K vol
Yes1.50%
Buy Yes 1.50%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%

Jeremy Strong

polymarket · open

$10.6K vol
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Jaafar Jackson

polymarket · open

$8.8K vol
Yes0.60%
Buy Yes 0.60%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Brad Pitt

polymarket · open

$14.0K vol
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Yura Borisov

polymarket · open

$3.6K vol
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Sam Rockwell

polymarket · open

$9.5K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Sebastian Stan

polymarket · open

$7.5K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Javier Bardem

polymarket · open

$7.1K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Robert Aramayo

polymarket · open

$6.6K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Pedro Pascal

polymarket · open

$6.1K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Josh O'Connor

polymarket · open

$6.1K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Adam Driver

polymarket · open

$6.0K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Mahershala Ali

polymarket · open

$87 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Guy Pearce

polymarket · open

$87 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Jul 28, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck