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politicselection· POLY-800819

Baja California Governor Election Winner

$50.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Julieta Ramírez Padilla

polymarket · open

$14.1K vol

Yes68.0%

Buy Yes 68.0%

No40.5%

Buy No 40.5%

Ismael Burgueño Ruiz

polymarket · open

$14.5K vol

Yes15.5%

Buy Yes 15.5%

No92.7%

Buy No 92.7%

Gustavo Macalpin

polymarket · open

$1.9K vol

Yes8.90%

Buy Yes 8.90%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Evangelina Moreno Guerra

polymarket · open

$4.0K vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Gina Cruz Blackledge

polymarket · open

$1.8K vol

Yes0.90%

Buy Yes 0.90%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Montserrat Caballero Ramírez

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Gustavo de Hoyos Walther

polymarket · open

$1.3K vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Víctor Galicia

polymarket · open

$857 vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Ana Daniela García Salgado

polymarket · open

$976 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Juan Carlos Hank

polymarket · open

$952 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros

polymarket · open

$910 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Daylín García Ruvalcaba

polymarket · open

$868 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Armando Ayala Robles

polymarket · open

$830 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas

polymarket · open

$830 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe

polymarket · open

$817 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Jorge Ramos Hernández

polymarket · open

$763 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Héctor Osuna Jaime

polymarket · open

$730 vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega

polymarket · open

$897 vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Fernando Castro Trenti

polymarket · open

$843 vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Karla Ruiz Macfarland

polymarket · open

$811 vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: Aug 5, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.