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sportscfb· POLY-801906

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis

$12.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

50 markets

North Carolina St.

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes99.8%

Buy Yes 99.8%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Virginia

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes99.8%

Buy Yes 99.8%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Washington

polymarket · open

$67 vol

Yes99.7%

Buy Yes 99.7%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

James Madison

polymarket · open

$20 vol

Yes99.7%

Buy Yes 99.7%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Arizona St.

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes99.7%

Buy Yes 99.7%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Clemson

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes99.7%

Buy Yes 99.7%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Georgia Tech

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes99.7%

Buy Yes 99.7%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Tulane

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes99.7%

Buy Yes 99.7%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Miami (OH)

polymarket · open

$43 vol

Yes99.6%

Buy Yes 99.6%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Missouri

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes99.6%

Buy Yes 99.6%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Kansas St.

polymarket · open

$5 vol

Yes98.7%

Buy Yes 98.7%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Arizona

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes98.7%

Buy Yes 98.7%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

BYU

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes98.7%

Buy Yes 98.7%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

California

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes98.7%

Buy Yes 98.7%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Oklahoma

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes98.0%

Buy Yes 98.0%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Pittsburgh

polymarket · open

$40 vol

Yes97.7%

Buy Yes 97.7%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Miami (FL)

polymarket · open

$972 vol

Yes97.0%

Buy Yes 97.0%

No69.0%

Buy No 69.0%

Texas

polymarket · open

$760 vol

Yes97.0%

Buy Yes 97.0%

No94.0%

Buy No 94.0%

Florida

polymarket · open

$240 vol

Yes97.0%

Buy Yes 97.0%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Ole Miss

polymarket · open

$60 vol

Yes97.0%

Buy Yes 97.0%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Houston

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes97.0%

Buy Yes 97.0%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Iowa

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes97.0%

Buy Yes 97.0%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Auburn

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes96.8%

Buy Yes 96.8%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Virginia Tech

polymarket · open

$5 vol

Yes96.7%

Buy Yes 96.7%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

USC

polymarket · open

$21 vol

Yes96.6%

Buy Yes 96.6%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Michigan

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes96.0%

Buy Yes 96.0%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Texas A&M

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes96.0%

Buy Yes 96.0%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Indiana

polymarket · open

$560 vol

Yes95.0%

Buy Yes 95.0%

No70.0%

Buy No 70.0%

Alabama

polymarket · open

$541 vol

Yes95.0%

Buy Yes 95.0%

No83.0%

Buy No 83.0%

Texas Tech

polymarket · open

$245 vol

Yes95.0%

Buy Yes 95.0%

No97.0%

Buy No 97.0%

Penn St.

polymarket · open

$51 vol

Yes95.0%

Buy Yes 95.0%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Tennessee

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes95.0%

Buy Yes 95.0%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Illinois

polymarket · open

$40 vol

Yes94.7%

Buy Yes 94.7%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Oklahoma St.

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes94.6%

Buy Yes 94.6%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

SMU

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes94.0%

Buy Yes 94.0%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

South Carolina

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes93.0%

Buy Yes 93.0%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Kentucky

polymarket · open

$81 vol

Yes92.8%

Buy Yes 92.8%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

TCU

polymarket · open

$40 vol

Yes92.8%

Buy Yes 92.8%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Louisville

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes92.8%

Buy Yes 92.8%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Baylor

polymarket · open

$60 vol

Yes91.9%

Buy Yes 91.9%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

Florida St.

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes91.8%

Buy Yes 91.8%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Vanderbilt

polymarket · open

$89 vol

Yes91.6%

Buy Yes 91.6%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Utah

polymarket · open

$0 vol

Yes89.8%

Buy Yes 89.8%

No94.4%

Buy No 94.4%

Georgia

polymarket · open

$524 vol

Yes61.0%

Buy Yes 61.0%

No90.0%

Buy No 90.0%

Notre Dame

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol

Yes51.0%

Buy Yes 51.0%

No60.0%

Buy No 60.0%

Ohio St.

polymarket · open

$825 vol

Yes46.0%

Buy Yes 46.0%

No89.0%

Buy No 89.0%

LSU

polymarket · open

$3.4K vol

Yes35.0%

Buy Yes 35.0%

No78.0%

Buy No 78.0%

North Texas

polymarket · open

$77 vol

Yes7.30%

Buy Yes 7.30%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Arkansas

polymarket · open

$131 vol

Yes7.00%

Buy Yes 7.00%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Oregon

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol

Yes6.90%

Buy Yes 6.90%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Timeline

Opened: Aug 5, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.