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politicsgeopolitics· POLY-84590

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

$376.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

2 markets

December 31

polymarket · open

$5.6K vol

Yes14.0%

Buy Yes 14.0%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

June 30

polymarket · closed

$370.6K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened: Jun 30, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.