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politics· POLY-85704

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1.3M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

71 markets

Ron DeSantis

polymarket · open

$8.4K vol

Yes70.2%

Buy Yes 70.2%

No88.7%

Buy No 88.7%

Rahm Emanuel

polymarket · open

$21.0K vol

Yes52.4%

Buy Yes 52.4%

No81.5%

Buy No 81.5%

Tulsi Gabbard

polymarket · open

$6.9K vol

Yes26.9%

Buy Yes 26.9%

No96.2%

Buy No 96.2%

Andy Beshear

polymarket · open

$30.7K vol

Yes23.3%

Buy Yes 23.3%

No78.9%

Buy No 78.9%

Phil Murphy

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol

Yes18.8%

Buy Yes 18.8%

No88.9%

Buy No 88.9%

Raphael Warnock

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol

Yes18.0%

Buy Yes 18.0%

No84.0%

Buy No 84.0%

Pete Buttigieg

polymarket · open

$26.1K vol

Yes12.4%

Buy Yes 12.4%

No88.7%

Buy No 88.7%

Mark Kelly

polymarket · open

$14.6K vol

Yes9.40%

Buy Yes 9.40%

No93.2%

Buy No 93.2%

Gavin Newsom

polymarket · open

$94.5K vol

Yes9.00%

Buy Yes 9.00%

No92.0%

Buy No 92.0%

Tucker Carlson

polymarket · open

$32.1K vol

Yes7.80%

Buy Yes 7.80%

No93.2%

Buy No 93.2%

Steve Bannon

polymarket · open

$22.4K vol

Yes7.30%

Buy Yes 7.30%

No93.3%

Buy No 93.3%

Rand Paul

polymarket · open

$20.4K vol

Yes7.00%

Buy Yes 7.00%

No94.0%

Buy No 94.0%

Ted Cruz

polymarket · open

$18.0K vol

Yes7.00%

Buy Yes 7.00%

No93.2%

Buy No 93.2%

Gina Raimondo

polymarket · open

$4.5K vol

Yes6.90%

Buy Yes 6.90%

No95.5%

Buy No 95.5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

polymarket · open

$17.6K vol

Yes6.20%

Buy Yes 6.20%

No98.1%

Buy No 98.1%

Glenn Youngkin

polymarket · open

$6.8K vol

Yes6.20%

Buy Yes 6.20%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Brian Kemp

polymarket · open

$4.6K vol

Yes6.00%

Buy Yes 6.00%

No95.0%

Buy No 95.0%

MrBeast

polymarket · open

$29.8K vol

Yes5.90%

Buy Yes 5.90%

No98.1%

Buy No 98.1%

Gretchen Whitmer

polymarket · open

$5.0K vol

Yes5.60%

Buy Yes 5.60%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Nikki Haley

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol

Yes5.60%

Buy Yes 5.60%

No94.7%

Buy No 94.7%

John Fetterman

polymarket · open

$7.3K vol

Yes5.50%

Buy Yes 5.50%

No96.8%

Buy No 96.8%

Matt Gaetz

polymarket · open

$3.4K vol

Yes5.50%

Buy Yes 5.50%

No98.3%

Buy No 98.3%

Kamala Harris

polymarket · open

$71.9K vol

Yes5.30%

Buy Yes 5.30%

No95.2%

Buy No 95.2%

Andrew Yang

polymarket · open

$16.4K vol

Yes5.30%

Buy Yes 5.30%

No96.7%

Buy No 96.7%

Don Lemon

polymarket · open

$3.4K vol

Yes5.30%

Buy Yes 5.30%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Donald Trump Jr.

polymarket · open

$9.8K vol

Yes5.20%

Buy Yes 5.20%

No98.1%

Buy No 98.1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

polymarket · open

$22.6K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No95.9%

Buy No 95.9%

Tom Brady

polymarket · open

$9.8K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No98.1%

Buy No 98.1%

George Clooney

polymarket · open

$5.7K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No97.0%

Buy No 97.0%

Greg Abbott

polymarket · open

$4.7K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Hillary Clinton

polymarket · open

$16.0K vol

Yes4.90%

Buy Yes 4.90%

No98.6%

Buy No 98.6%

Chelsea Clinton

polymarket · open

$14.0K vol

Yes4.90%

Buy Yes 4.90%

No98.4%

Buy No 98.4%

Wes Moore

polymarket · open

$6.9K vol

Yes4.80%

Buy Yes 4.80%

No98.2%

Buy No 98.2%

Elise Stefanik

polymarket · open

$5.0K vol

Yes4.80%

Buy Yes 4.80%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Beto O’Rourke

polymarket · open

$12.3K vol

Yes4.70%

Buy Yes 4.70%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Candace Owens

polymarket · open

$12.5K vol

Yes4.60%

Buy Yes 4.60%

No97.4%

Buy No 97.4%

Liz Cheney

polymarket · open

$3.0K vol

Yes4.50%

Buy Yes 4.50%

No98.6%

Buy No 98.6%

Hunter Biden

polymarket · open

$59.6K vol

Yes4.30%

Buy Yes 4.30%

No96.3%

Buy No 96.3%

Kristi Noem

polymarket · open

$20.5K vol

Yes4.20%

Buy Yes 4.20%

No97.9%

Buy No 97.9%

Ivanka Trump

polymarket · open

$39.8K vol

Yes4.10%

Buy Yes 4.10%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Erika Kirk

polymarket · open

$27.5K vol

Yes4.10%

Buy Yes 4.10%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Cory Booker

polymarket · open

$18.3K vol

Yes4.00%

Buy Yes 4.00%

No96.5%

Buy No 96.5%

Josh Shapiro

polymarket · open

$15.0K vol

Yes4.00%

Buy Yes 4.00%

No96.9%

Buy No 96.9%

Byron Donalds

polymarket · open

$10.5K vol

Yes4.00%

Buy Yes 4.00%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Barack Obama

polymarket · open

$11.5K vol

Yes3.90%

Buy Yes 3.90%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Stephen A. Smith

polymarket · open

$20.1K vol

Yes3.60%

Buy Yes 3.60%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Bernie Sanders

polymarket · open

$4.6K vol

Yes3.60%

Buy Yes 3.60%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Jon Stewart

polymarket · open

$5.0K vol

Yes3.50%

Buy Yes 3.50%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Oprah Winfrey

polymarket · open

$17.6K vol

Yes3.40%

Buy Yes 3.40%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

polymarket · open

$11.1K vol

Yes3.40%

Buy Yes 3.40%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

polymarket · open

$61.7K vol

Yes3.30%

Buy Yes 3.30%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Elon Musk

polymarket · open

$10.4K vol

Yes3.30%

Buy Yes 3.30%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Katie Britt

polymarket · open

$26.4K vol

Yes3.20%

Buy Yes 3.20%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Mike Pence

polymarket · open

$15.6K vol

Yes3.10%

Buy Yes 3.10%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

LeBron James

polymarket · open

$16.2K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

Jon Ossoff

polymarket · open

$38.2K vol

Yes2.90%

Buy Yes 2.90%

No98.2%

Buy No 98.2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

polymarket · open

$10.4K vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Michelle Obama

polymarket · open

$15.2K vol

Yes2.70%

Buy Yes 2.70%

No98.3%

Buy No 98.3%

Josh Hawley

polymarket · open

$10.0K vol

Yes2.70%

Buy Yes 2.70%

No99.1%

Buy No 99.1%

Jared Polis

polymarket · open

$6.2K vol

Yes2.50%

Buy Yes 2.50%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

J.B. Pritzker

polymarket · open

$9.0K vol

Yes2.40%

Buy Yes 2.40%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

polymarket · open

$8.3K vol

Yes2.10%

Buy Yes 2.10%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Roy Cooper

polymarket · open

$7.0K vol

Yes2.10%

Buy Yes 2.10%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

John Thune

polymarket · open

$6.8K vol

Yes2.10%

Buy Yes 2.10%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Donald Trump

polymarket · open

$73.8K vol

Yes1.90%

Buy Yes 1.90%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Mark Cuban

polymarket · open

$14.8K vol

Yes1.90%

Buy Yes 1.90%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Marco Rubio

polymarket · open

$26.1K vol

Yes1.60%

Buy Yes 1.60%

No99.2%

Buy No 99.2%

Kim Kardashian

polymarket · open

$7.8K vol

Yes1.40%

Buy Yes 1.40%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Tim Walz

polymarket · open

$7.0K vol

Yes1.20%

Buy Yes 1.20%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Zohran Mamdani

polymarket · open

$40.1K vol

Yes1.10%

Buy Yes 1.10%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

J.D. Vance

polymarket · open

$41.6K vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Timeline

Opened: Nov 19, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.