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climate & science· POLY-86950

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

$247.6K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

1 market

Yes

polymarket · open

$247.6K vol

Yes16.0%

Buy Yes 16.0%

No94.0%

Buy No 94.0%

Timeline

Opened: Dec 1, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.