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politicselection· POLY-870831

California Governor Election: Turnout

$33.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

10 markets

12.5M-13M

polymarket · open

$9.4K vol
Yes35.0%
Buy Yes 35.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%

13.5M-14M

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes35.0%
Buy Yes 35.0%
No98.1%
Buy No 98.1%

14.5M+

polymarket · open

$1.4K vol
Yes35.0%
Buy Yes 35.0%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

12M-12.5M

polymarket · open

$2.8K vol
Yes26.0%
Buy Yes 26.0%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

11M-11.5M

polymarket · open

$1.7K vol
Yes24.1%
Buy Yes 24.1%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

13M-13.5M

polymarket · open

$6.1K vol
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

11.5M-12M

polymarket · open

$1.6K vol
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

<10.5M

polymarket · open

$3.1K vol
Yes11.4%
Buy Yes 11.4%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

14M-14.5M

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes3.00%
Buy Yes 3.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

10.5M-11M

polymarket · open

$4.3K vol
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.