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politicselection· POLY-870848

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

$50.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

8 markets

825K-900K

polymarket · open

$7.0K vol
Yes95.0%
Buy Yes 95.0%
No31.0%
Buy No 31.0%

900K-975K

polymarket · open

$18.2K vol
Yes22.0%
Buy Yes 22.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

1.05M+

polymarket · open

$6.4K vol
Yes3.30%
Buy Yes 3.30%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

975K-1.05M

polymarket · open

$8.7K vol
Yes1.30%
Buy Yes 1.30%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

750K-825K

polymarket · open

$3.5K vol
Yes1.10%
Buy Yes 1.10%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

675K-750K

polymarket · open

$2.5K vol
Yes0.50%
Buy Yes 0.50%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

600K-675K

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol
Yes0.50%
Buy Yes 0.50%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

<600K

polymarket · open

$2.5K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.