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politicselection· POLY-870849

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

$26.0K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

10 markets

2.9M-3.05M

polymarket · open

$1.4K vol
Yes80.6%
Buy Yes 80.6%
No86.6%
Buy No 86.6%

2.6M-2.75M

polymarket · open

$5.6K vol
Yes76.0%
Buy Yes 76.0%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

2.45M-2.6M

polymarket · open

$3.7K vol
Yes76.0%
Buy Yes 76.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

2.75M-2.9M

polymarket · open

$6.8K vol
Yes54.0%
Buy Yes 54.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

2.3M-2.45M

polymarket · open

$836 vol
Yes38.2%
Buy Yes 38.2%
No98.6%
Buy No 98.6%

3.05M-3.2M

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes19.5%
Buy Yes 19.5%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

3.2M+

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes8.30%
Buy Yes 8.30%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

2.15M-2.3M

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

<2M

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes2.20%
Buy Yes 2.20%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

2M-2.15M

polymarket · open

$1.9K vol
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck